Saturday, May 19, 2018

Ruby Woolridge ends US TX 6 Primary with more cash on hand than her Run-off opponent and the Republican front-runner

By Faith Chatham - May 19, 2018

Despite  campaign rhetoric about which Democratic US 6 Run-off candidate having a financial campaign advantage to face the Republican Nominee for the open seat US TX 6 Congressional seat vacated by Joe Barton, F.E.C. reports show otherwise.  True, Jana Sanchez raised more funds than Ruby Woolridge, but into the Run-off/General Election, it does not appear that Sanchez has a financial advantage over Woolridge.

To be competitive in the General Election, a candidate needs to raise enough money in the primary to enter the General Election on as level a playing field with the Republican Party's nominee financially as possible. This is determined by the cash on hand of the candidates following the Primary.
Sanchez raised more and spent more during the General Election than Ruby Woolridge. However, entering the Run-off/General Election, Woolridge has more cash on hand than either Sanchez or the presumed Republican Nominee Ron Wright.

Sanchez spent $220,338.03 to get 10, 880 Democratic Primary votes;
Woolridge spent $51,248.47 to get 10,895 Democratic Primary votes.

Sanchez spent 4 times the dollars to get 15 less votes than Woolridge.
On her May 2nd FEC report, Sanchez reported  $7,212 less cash on hand than Woolridge. 
Woolridge.
Republican front runner Ron Wright  reported having $1,670 less cash on hand than Democratic front-runner Woolridge

May 2nd Sanchez reported having $43,297.79 cash on hand;
Woolridge reported having $50,509.89 cash on hand
Republican front-runner Ron Wright reported having $48,839.59 cash on hand.

Ron Wright spent $172,770.09 during the Republican Primary to get 20,750 votes.

There were 45,960 votes cast in the Republican Primary and 29,487 votes cast in the Democratic Primary. 
Wright spent $8.32 per vote; 
Woolridge spent $4.70 per vote; 
Sanchez spent $20.25 per vote.
Source: F.E.C. May 2nd 2018 Candidate’s Campaign Reports and Texas S.O.S. March Primary Election Returns.

Assessment: Even though Sanchez raised more money during the primary, she does not enter the General Election with a financial advantage over Woolridge
Woolridge ran a tighter, more frugal campaign than Sanchez. 
It cost Sanchez four times what it cost Woolridge to draw a voter to the polls.
Republican front-runner Ron Wright enters the General Election with less cash on hand than Woolridge. 
Wright  spent almost twice per voter of  what it cost Woolridge to draw a voter to the polls.
He holds the party brand advantage in US TX 6 where 16,473 more Republicans than Democrats voted in the US TX 6 2016 primary than Democrats. 

Democratic Primary Run-off: _
Ruby Woolridge got 36.95% of the Democratic Primary vote and faces Jana Sanchez (36.90%) in the May 22nd Democratic Primary Run-off.
Ron Wright got 45.15%  of the Republican Primary vote and faces J.K. "Jake" Ellzey (21.76%) Tuesday, March 22nd in the Republican Primary Run-off.


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